Traffic light update: Will Turkey move to the amber list? Expert predicts ‘very bad news’

Boris Johnson urges ‘patience’ over travel restrictions

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The new traffic light travel review is expected to happen later this week, on Wednesday, August 25, 2021. With many hopeful holidaymakers eagerly awaiting news on whether or not Turkey could change to amber or even green, experts have begun to make their predictions.

However, there is no clear indication from the Government as to whether or not any nations are set to move between the lists.

Is Turkey likely to go on to the amber list?

According to Covid data specialist Tim White, there is “very bad news for Turkey”.

According to the expert, Turkey’s number of confirmed cases of coronavirus means it is unlikely to be moved from the red list on Wednesday.

In his weekly Covid data round-up on Sunday evening, Mr White said: “Very bad news for #Turkey which may have swung the pendulum against it coming off [the red list].

“COVID-19 numbers didn’t fall as much as expected. Today a fall of just 225 (18,622), but with much less testing, so the positive test rate actually climbs from 6.5 percent to 7 percent.”

Similarly, last week travel expert Paul Charles suggested the risk of “variants” in Turkey could keep the nation on the red list.

“The not-very-transparent traffic lights decision doesn’t reference why Turkey is staying red,” he said.

“But the charts on infections suggest variants still circulating widely, compared with Spain for example.”

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What is the situation currently like in Turkey?

According to the European Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC), as of August 19, there were 332,761 confirmed cases of Covid during the previous 14-day reporting period.

The country recorded 53,005 fatalities as a result.

Turkey is reported to have administered at least 88,443,350 doses of Covid vaccines so far, according to Reuters data.

Assuming every person needs two doses, that’s enough to have vaccinated about 53 percent of the country’s population.

What travel rules are in place for Turkey?

Turkey is currently on the UK’s red list for travel, with the Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO) advising against all non-essential travel to the nation.

Only UK and Irish residents and citizens are permitted to enter the UK from red list countries.

They are then expected to endure 10 days (11 nights) of quarantine in a Government-approved hotel.

Travellers must take a pre-departure Covid test before flying to England, and then will take a further test on days two and eight of their quarantine.

The cost of this stay, and the testing throughout, are at the expense of the traveller.

Following the latest traffic light update on August 4, the cost of a hotel stay rose to £2,285 for one adult in one room.

It costs £1,430 for an additional adult or child over the age of 11.

The rate for an accompanying child aged between five years old and 11 is £325.

Turkey also has rules in place for those travelling from the UK.

All arrivals into Turkey, except Turkish citizens or residence permit holders, must complete an online form within 72 hours of travel.

Passengers arriving from the UK must show a negative PCR test taken within the 72 hours prior to arriving in Turkey.

All arrivals into Turkey will be subject to a medical evaluation for symptoms of coronavirus, including temperature checks.

Arrivals may also be subject to random PCR testing on arrival.

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